基于关联分析的航班延误气象因素量化方法研究

THE QUANTIFICATION METHOD OF FLIGHT DELAY METEOROLOGICAL FACTORS BASED ON CORRELATION ANALYSIS

  • 摘要: 在所有导致航班延误的因素当中,气象因素占有较大的比重。该文主要采用两种用于关联分析的算法:Apriori 算法和 FP-Growth 算法对航班和气象数据进行量化分析,明确航班延误与气象因素之间的量化关系,在两种算法基础上采用事务压缩、Hash 以及数据压缩方法以提升算法效率,之后分别对关联规则的生成过程和算法的执行过程进行了优化,即规定关联规则的关联指向以及采用并行挖掘代替顺序挖掘,进一步提升系统量化分析效率。采用 Web 开发和大数据可视化技术设计航班延误气象因素量化分析系统,并成功部署到空中交通管理部门。系统能够将单气象因素和多气象因素进行量化分析并对影响航班发生延误的气象条件进行可视化展示,为民航相关部门提供有效的决策依据。

     

    Abstract: Among all the factors that cause flight delays, meteorological factors account for a large proportion. Two algorithms for correlation analysis: Apriori algorithm and FP-Growth algorithm are used in this paper to quantify flight and meteorological data and clarify the quantitative relationship between flight delays and meteorological factors. On the basis of two algorithms, the transaction compression, Hash, and data compression method were used to enhance the algorithm efficiency. After that, the generation process of association rules and the execution process of the algorithm were optimized. That was, the association direction of association rules was specified and the parallel mining was used instead of sequential mining to further improve the efficiency of quantitative analysis of the system. We used Web development and big data visualization technology to design the quantitative analysis system of flight delay meteorological factors, and successfully deployed to air traffic management department. The system could quantitatively analyze single meteorological factors and multiple meteorological factors and visually display meteorological conditions affecting flight delays, providing effective decision-making basis for relevant civil aviation departments.

     

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