基于ARIMA和IndRNN组合模型的数据中心CPU负载预测

CPU WORKLOAD PREDICTION BASED ON COMBINATION MODEL OF ARIMA AND INDRNN IN DATA CENTER

  • 摘要: 针对数据中心的负载时间序列同时具有线性和非线性的复杂特性,单一模型在建模预测中常表现出一定的局限性。对此,提出一种融合小波分解的ARIMA(AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average)和IndRNN(Independently Recurrent Neural Network)组合负载预测模型。通过哈尔小波将序列分解成趋势子序列和细节子序列,并分别利用ARIMA和IndRNN模型对两个子序列进行建模预测;将二者的预测结果重构,再通过IndRNN模型进行误差修正,进一步提高预测准确度。结果显示,所提的组合预测模型可靠,较其他方法精度更高。

     

    Abstract: Aimed at the load time series data has linear and nonlinear complex characteristics in the data center, a single model often shows certain limitations in capturing the characteristics and forecasting. In this regard, a method combined of ARIMA and IndRNN and incorporating wavelet decomposition is proposed. The series was decomposed into trend subsequences and detail subsequences by Haar wavelet. The ARIMA and IndRNN models were respectively used to model and predict the two subsequences, and reconstructed the two prediction to get the combined model’s first prediction results. The error series was predicted by the IndRNN model which was to further improve the prediction accuracy. The results show that the combined model of ARIAM and IndRNN is reliable and has higher accuracy than other methods.

     

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